Episode 203 – It’s Not The End of The World

Episode 203 – It’s Not The End of The World

Left-leaning public intellectuals cannot empathise with “white working class trash”. They have taken a leaf from Hilary’s playbook and think of them as a basket of deplorables. That is not going to work.

Don’t they know, it’s the end of the world?

WTF happened?

Saturday night I recorded myself – You cannot be serious

Queensland

Qld delivered the LNP 23 out of 29 seats with TPP of 42.8% Vs 57.2%. The primary vote was 27.3% Vs 43.3%.

Three reasons why Qld is different.

  1. Pauline Hanson and Clive Palmer are Queenslanders and attract a parochial tribal vote.
  2. Adani is in Qld. Labor was proposing to kill it without offering compensation. (In the Hunter Valley a pro-coal One nation candidate got 21.8% of the primary vote so it’s not just Qld)
  3. We don’t have a printed Fairfax paper

Murdoch

The government has been so bad that a drovers dog should’ve beaten them. We cannot underestimate the constant barrage from the Murdoch empire. You would think their influence would wane but not yet. The long-standing hatchet job on Bill Shorten was effective.

Taking a butter knife to a gun fight

So Shorten was up against Morrison, Palmer, Hanson and Murdoch. To help he had the Greens who …didn’t help. And Bob Brown’s Stop Adani Convoy just created a backlash. Queenslanders don’t like southerners telling them what to do.

12:55 Who are the Australian classes?

The population is divided into several camps.

The wealthy upper class who hate paying tax and will avoid it at all costs. They also are not worried about climate change because they figure they can move to wherever is comfortable. Think medical specialists, corporate executives, partners in big law and accounting practices and owners of very successful businesses. The sort of people who can own a big boat or fancy sports car and travel overseas every year. They vote Liberal.

The poor working class. Think factory workers, shop assistants, Uber drivers, child care workers and hospitality workers. They should vote Labor hoping for better minimum wage rates but they may vote right wing due to fear of immigrants taking their jobs and their preference may then go to the Liberals.

The secure middle class who can afford to be virtuous about climate change and by the nature of their jobs they are immune to economic recessions. They are not worried about immigrants taking their jobs. Think GP’s, nurses, teachers, junior professionals, public servants, University academics, police, fireman and paramedics. They should vote Labor unless they have big worries about the property market (because they have a very large mortgage or they have several negatively geared properties).

The middle class whose income is precarious. They own small businesses, small professional firms, retail shops, restaurants, cafes, small motels and farms. Or they are employed in boom and bust industries like mining or construction or real estate where job opportunities fluctuate wildly depending on the economy and commodity prices. Times are tough and they live on the edge. They are susceptible to a fear campaign over an economic recession. They can’t afford to take a hit for climate action. Especially not an uneven hit. Regional and rural areas have more of these people.

The retired baby boomer who thinks tax is evil and doesn’t care about climate change because he will die before things get too bad.

Scare Campaigns

In the end, a scare campaign by Morrison and Murdoch pitched at the precariat and retirees beat a disjointed dog’s breakfast of Labor offerings.

Labor gained some votes in wealthy suburbs but lost some votes in the working class western suburbs and got smashed anywhere with a mine.

Our Own Elite Calling Australians Deplorable

From The Courier Mail: … Fellow Project presenter Meshel Laurie blasted the public, writing “Australians are dumb, mean-spirited and greedy. Accept it,” while Nine Newspapers cartoonist Cathy Wilcox tweeted, “it seems unfair that the morons outnumber the thinking people at election time”.

It’s very easy for the elite to call for others to take a hit. These Public intellectuals don’t have any skin in the game and they have lost the ability to empathise with the plight of the white working class precariat. They rightly empathise with dysfunctional aboriginal and ethnic minorities and offer all sorts of assistance yet tell the precariat to suck it up and are shocked when they don’t.

Criticism of the “greedy retirees” is perhaps more justified but even they are operating under a cultural myth that they created there own wealth. If you don’t address the myth you get pissed off people.

I’ll tell you who is dumb. Millennials for letting the Boomers and Gen X screw them again.

In hindsight,

Labor should have had a charismatic leader but failing that it should have

  1. run its own fear campaign and attacked the economic credentials of the LNP (budget deficit and top end tax reductions)
  2. allayed fears over a property market collapse; and
  3. dealt with Adani by exposing how little will trickle down and by offering some other sweetener to central Queensland

Maybe, it was a good election to lose. The next three years could see a recession and a property collapse. Labor has a history of inheriting bad conditions so maybe this loss saves them from that.

Other thoughts

Polls. You can’t trust them. Maybe One nation and PUP preferences went more to the Liberals than in the past?

Get Up failed except for Tony Abbott. Does get up only work in wealthy electorates. They failed in Peter Dutton’s seat. The

Sportsbet paid out early!

Morrison has no agenda other than cut tax and to allow more religious privilege. He says Australia is not a secular country.

He is interviewing for cabinet posts. It is actually quite easy to get in. I recorded an interviewee asking if he needed any special qualifications and here is what Scott Morrison said. Accept Jesus.

The Qld state election looks like an LNP victory. Goodbye VAD and (thanks to deputy Tim Mander former CEO of Scripture Union) hello godliness.

Clive Palmer (Waratah Coal)  actually won.

Landon Hardbottom sent us a message and is coming to Brisbane.

You can send us messages on Speakpipe

Bunch of losers

The Syrian Chemical Attack

Let’s replay some of episode 144 and then note an apparent classified internal report from OPCW (Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons) suggests that the Douma chemical attack – which allegedly took place in April 2018 – was in fact staged.

An apparent classified internal report from OPCW suggests that the Douma chemical attack – which allegedly took place in April 2018 – was in fact staged.

The photographs, “analysed” in depth by Bellingcat and other establishment mouthpieces, were claimed as the “smoking gun”, proof of the Assad’s guilt. However, the OPCW fact-finding mission appears to see things rather differently.

The report is fifteen pages long, detailed and thorough, but the most important paragraph is saved for the end (emphasis ours):

In summary, observations at the scene of the two locations, together with subsequent analysis, suggest that there is a higher probability that both cylinders weremanually placed at those two locations rather than being dropped.”

The report, signed by Ian Henderson (an investigative team leader for the OPCW), is an analysis of the two key locations which were used as evidence of the Syrian government launching a chemical attack using chlorine gas in Douma, last year.

These locations, referred to as Location 2 and Location 4 respectively, were made famous by these photographs:

So, don’t believe everything you read about Venezuela.

Jacinda Ardern does not understand

New Zealand’s prime minister has said she cannot understand America’s failure to ban automatic and semi-automatic guns, despite dozens of mass shootings.

Jacinda Ardern told CNN’s Christiane Amanpour in unusually blunt language: “Australia experienced a massacre and changed its laws. New Zealand has had its experience and changed its laws. To be honest with you, I don’t understand the United States.”

What’s Wrong With America? Answer – Alabama

The USA is going backwards thanks to the theocracy. I predict the demise of The Union.

The US state of Alabama has approved legislation to ban abortions in almost all cases with jail terms of up to 99 years for anyone performing the procedure.

If the Republican governor signs the measure, the state will have the strictest abortion laws in the country.

Under the change abortions would only be permitted when the mother’s life is at serious risk and abortions in instances of rape and incest would be banned.

Sixteen other states are also seeking to impose new restrictions on abortion.

Kentucky, Mississippi, Ohio and Georgia recently approved bans on abortion once a fetal heartbeat is detected, which can occur in about the sixth week of pregnancy.

The Alabama bill goes further by seeking to outlaw abortion outright, and make performing an abortion a felony.

This means doctors who perform abortions could serve more prison time than a woman’s rapist.

If the Alabama bill becomes law, it would take effect in six months.

Key points:

  • Doctors who perform abortions could serve more prison time than a woman’s rapist
  • If the Alabama bill becomes law, it would take effect in six months
  • Abortion laws were decided by the state until the Roe vs Wade Supreme Court case in 1973

 

 


2 comments on “Episode 203 – It’s Not The End of The World
  1. Bronwyn Benn says:

    Hi guys,

    A very interesting episode. I really liked your analysis of the Australian voting public – very well thought out and it certainly rings true.

    I agree that the conduct of some commentators on social media was rather immature. They should have just spent the last week muttering ‘fucking Liberal voter’ at bad drivers and queue jumpers, like I did.

    The best post-election analysis I have read so far comes from Annabel Crabb. She points out that there is a lesson for the Liberals, as well as for Labor, from this election, particularly if the Liberals come to the wrong conclusion about the reason for their success:

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-05-25/federal-election-morrison-shorten-history/11144516?section=politics

    And I see from today’s news that not being able to pay tax cuts on time isn’t the only problem awaiting Scott Morrison:

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/liberals-low-key-lgbti-promises-could-prove-challenging-for-morrison-20190525-p51r49.html

    However I don’t agree with Annabel that the parliament is now more moderate, due to the departures of Abbott and Anning. The Liberal Party is far more right wing now than it was before the election. This should be a matter of concern for all of us, as the government could certainly do a lot of damage in three years. Personally I am particularly concerned about:

    – continuing inequality and wage stagnation;
    – the government’s blind refusal to see the signs that the economy is starting to go downhill;
    – continuing lack of credible action on the climate change issue, and especially our ongoing dependence on burning brown coal for energy; and
    – the future of the ABC, which continues to suffer the death of 1000 cuts.

    I don’t see any possibility for positive outcomes in any of the above for the next three years, so it’s no wonder that those of us on the left side of the centre are feeling a bit depressed.

    Morrison has shown himself to be an effective election campaigner. However, given his obvious shallowness and lack of intellect, I have no confidence that he will show himself to be effective at governing.

    Best wishes as always.

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